Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.115391 0.123732 0.132369 0.141986 0.152401 0.163348 0.175734
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.102599 0.114987 0.128466 0.144250 0.162267 0.182233 0.206094
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.092497 0.106753 0.122785 0.142210 0.165187 0.191595 0.224380
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.085200 0.100684 0.118570 0.140851 0.167990 0.200135 0.241331
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.078172 0.094226 0.113191 0.137376 0.167577 0.204282 0.252626
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.073209 0.089820 0.109842 0.135919 0.169227 0.210670 0.266640
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.069624 0.086819 0.107933 0.135972 0.172545 0.219057 0.283368
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065521 0.082891 0.104572 0.133872 0.172816 0.223331 0.294684
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.062362 0.079971 0.102294 0.132964 0.174463 0.229316 0.308400
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.061433 0.079870 0.103616 0.136793 0.182515 0.244133 0.334869
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058794 0.077357 0.101594 0.135959 0.184083 0.250054 0.349032
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.056196 0.074766 0.099325 0.134629 0.184821 0.254742 0.361525
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052939 0.071190 0.095626 0.131224 0.182576 0.255242 0.368154
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051788 0.070469 0.095822 0.133305 0.188263 0.267401 0.392777
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049423 0.067938 0.093365 0.131438 0.188056 0.270839 0.404237
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047428 0.065841 0.091417 0.130195 0.188662 0.275433 0.417617
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044974 0.062986 0.088263 0.127015 0.186174 0.275163 0.423207
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043230 0.061090 0.086413 0.125683 0.186398 0.279002 0.435487
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.041995 0.059884 0.085518 0.125731 0.188715 0.286149 0.453451
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.040280 0.057905 0.083399 0.123809 0.187841 0.288166 0.462944
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.038962 0.056467 0.082031 0.122977 0.188630 0.292835 0.477076
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038859 0.056851 0.083414 0.126482 0.196491 0.309301 0.512237
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.037665 0.055528 0.082140 0.125719 0.197360 0.314248 0.527549